Climate Change and Impact on Food Security
October 9, 2009 |
What are the consequences of climate change on food security? What are the estimated investments that would offset the negative consequences for human well-being? A report on Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change in the Developing World: What will it Cost? published by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) says that agriculture and human well-being will be negatively affected by climate change. "Aggressive agricultural productivity investments of US$7.1–7.3 billion are needed to raise calorie consumption enough to offset the negative impacts of climate change on the health and well-being of children," the report suggested.
Using crop growth models under simulated climate change, the report predicts, among others, that:
- In developing countries, climate change will cause yield declines for the most important crops. South Asia will be particularly hard hit.
- Climate change will have varying effects on irrigated yields across regions, but irrigated yields for all crops in South Asia will experience large declines.
- Climate change will result in additional price increases for the most important agricultural crops–rice, wheat, maize, and soybeans.
- Calorie availability in 2050 will not only be lower than in the no–climate-change scenario—it will actually decline relative to 2000 levels throughout the developing world.
Download the full report at http://www.ifpri.org/publication/climate-change-impact-agriculture-and-costs-adaptation
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