Bt Cotton


Global Distribution of Cotton in Developing and Industrial Countries, by Area, Production, Consumption, Imports, and Exports

Of the 33.5 million hectares of cotton grown in 2001/2002 approximately 70% were planted in developing countries and only 30 % in industrial countries. The top 10 cotton countries, by area, (listed in Table 1) accounted for 80 % of the planted area of global cotton, with the balance of 20 % grown in the other 55 countries. Of the top 5 countries that planted more than 1 million hectares each (for a total of 23.5 million or 70 % of global total), India has by far the largest area (8.7 million hectares), followed by the USA (5.6 million hectares), China (4.8 million hectares) Pakistan (3.1 million hectares), and Uzbekistan (1.5 million hectares). It is noteworthy that of the 70 % of global cotton planted in countries of the South, three Asian countries predominate, India, China and Pakistan, that together plant 50 % of global cotton. Six out of the ten top cotton-growing countries, by area, are from the South, three from Asia (India, China and Pakistan), two from Africa (Mali and Benin), and Brazil in Latin America. The other four countries comprise USA, with the second largest area (5.6 million hectares), the two Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) states of Uzbekistan (1.5 million hectares) and Turkmenistan (0.6 million hectares), and Turkey (0.6 million hectares) in Western Asia.

 

Table 1. Top 10 Cotton-Growing Countries by Area, 2001-2002

 

Country

000 Ha

1.

India

8,730

2.

USA

5,596

3.

China

4,824

4.

Pakistan

3,125

5.

Uzbekistan

1,453

6.

Brazil

750

7.

Turkey

654

8.

Turkmenistan

550

9.

Mali

516

10.

Benin

415

 

Subtotal

26,613  (80%)

 

Others

6,844

 

World Total

33,457

Source: ICAC, 2002a.

 

Global production of cotton (lint) has increased from 9.8 million tons in 1960/61 to 21.2 million tons in 2001/02 – an increase of 116 % over the last 40 years. The top 10 cotton countries, in terms of total production in 2001 are listed in Table 2, along with corresponding yield data. Collectively they produce 85 % of global cotton production. As for the previous data, based on cotton area, six of the top 10 cotton producing countries are developing countries, China (5.3 million metric tons (MT)), India (2.5 million MT) Pakistan (1.8 million MT), Brazil (0.7. million MT), Syria (0.3 million MT) and Egypt (0.3 million MT).

 

Table 2. Top 10 Producers of Lint Cotton in 2001-2002
 

Country

000 Metric Tons

Lint Yield Kg/Ha

1.

China

5,320

1,103

2.

USA

4,420

790

3.

India

2,508

287

4.

Pakistan

1,853

593

5.

Uzbekistan

1,055

726

6.

Turkey

880

1,345

7.

Brazil

750

999

8.

Australia

670

1,658

9.

Syria

335

1,303

10.

Egypt

314

994

 

Subtotal

18,105  (85%)

980

 

Others

3,132

 
 

World Total/Average

21,237

635

Source: ICAC, 2002a.
 

 

China with a high yield of 1,103 kg of lint per hectare is the top lint producer globally with a production of 5.3 million tons followed by the US (4.4 million MT). Both India and Pakistan have significantly lower production than China. Despite having large areas of cotton, they suffer from low yields, 287 kg/hectare and 593 kg/hectare respectively, whereas Syria, Egypt and Brazil have significantly higher yields of 1,303 kg/hectare, 994 kg/hectare and 999 kg/hectare respectively. Australia has by far the highest world yield of lint at 1,658 kg/hectare followed by Syria (1,303 kg/hectare) and China (1,103 kg/hectare) (ICAC 2002a). Thus, in general, developing countries like China, with a large area of cotton and high yields excel in terms of total production, whereas countries like India and Pakistan with large areas suffer in terms of total production because of low yields. India has the lowest yield of the top 10 producers at 287 kg/hectare, which is less than half of the world average yield of 635 kg/hectare. Brazil, Syria and Egypt compete well in terms of total production because of high yields, whereas African countries such as Mali and Benin which grow approximately 500,000 hectares of cotton do not excel in total production because of low yields of 464 and 420 kg/hectare, respectively. In summary, the major constraint to increased production in many developing countries is low productivity, due to abiotic, biotic and other constraints, with insect pests, particularly lepidopteran pests, featuring as a prevalent and significant constraint in all developing countries.

Global consumption of cotton in 2001 was approximately 19.9 million metric tons; this compares with production of 21.2 million metric tons. It is noteworthy that China, India and Pakistan are the top 3 consumers of cotton, totaling 9.1 million metric tons, close to half of the global production of 21.2 million MT. Of the top 10 countries that consume 78% of global cotton, (Table 3) 7 are developing countries. Listed in descending order of importance, they are China (5.4 million MT), India (2.9 million MT), Pakistan (1.8 million MT), Brazil (0.9 million MT), Indonesia (0.5 million MT), Mexico (0.4 million MT) and Thailand (0.4 million MT); these 7 countries consume approximately 60 % of world cotton production - four are Asian, two are from Latin America, and Africa is conspicuous by its absence. USA (1.7 million MT), Turkey (1.3 million MT) and Russia (0.4 million MT) are the other three significant consumers of cotton.

 

Table 3. Top 10 Consumers of Lint Cotton in 2001-2002

 

Country

000 Ha

1.

China

5,400

2.

India

2,856

3.

Pakistan

1,830

4.

USA

1,655

5.

Turkey

1,250

6.

Brazil

860

7.

Indonesia

525

8.

Mexico

403

9.

Thailand

371

10.

Russia

364

 

Subtotal

15,514  (78%)

 

Others

4,422

 

World Total

19,936

Source: ICAC, 2002a.
 

 

Many of the developing countries that are large consumers of cotton are also significant importers of cotton (Table 4). These include Indonesia, India, Thailand, Mexico and Pakistan. Large consumer developing countries that rely only on limited imports include China (imports of 100,000 MT) and Brazil (150,000 MT).

 

Table 4. Top 10 Importers of Cotton 2001-2002

 

Country

000 Metric Tons

1.

Indonesia

550

2.

Turkey

500

3.

India

450

4.

Russia

390

5.

Thailand

387

6.

Mexico

383

7.

Republic of Korea

331

8.

Italy

285

9.

Taiwan

280

10.

Pakistan

275

 

Subtotal

3,831  (60%)

 

Others

2,535

 

World Total

6,366

Source: ICAC, 2002a.
 

 

The top 10 exporters of cotton are listed in Table 5 with the USA by far the largest exporter (2,389,000 MT, equivalent to 38% of world exports), followed by Uzbekistan (729,000 MT), Australia (700,000 MT), Greece (257,000 MT) and Syria (187,000 MT). It is noteworthy that 4 out of the top 10 exporters are countries from West Africa, i.e. Mali, Benin, Cote d’Ivoire and Burkina Faso. These Francophone countries in Africa have suffered a great deal from low cotton prices in recent years, and are among the poorest in the world. Losses due to cotton insect pests and high expenditures on insecticides exacerbate the problems of low prices for exports, particularly as cotton exports in several of these countries represent 50 % or more of their total export earnings. In the event that Bt cotton could lower cost of production and increase productivity and income, this would be a significant advantage to the national economies of these countries.

 

Table 5. Top 10 Exporters of Lint Cotton 2001-2002

 

Country

000 Metric Tons

1.

USA

2,389

2.

Uzbekistan

729

3.

Australia

700

4.

Greece

257

5.

Syria

187

6.

Mali

181

7.

Benin

139

8.

Cote d'Ivoire

133

9.

Burkina Faso

126

10.

Turkmenistan

125

 

Subtotal

4,966  (78%)

 

Others

1,400

 

World Total

6,366

Source: ICAC, 2002a.
 

 

In summary, taking into account the global distribution of cotton by area, production, consumption, imports and exports, it is evident that developing countries are major players in all aspects related to cotton and thus potentially stand to gain from any technology that will decrease cost of production, and simultaneously increase productivity and income. In addition, significant advantages in terms of the environment, health and social benefits can accrue if pest infestations that can be controlled by Bt are a significant constraint to increased productivity. Developing countries that have already deployed Bt cotton and are deriving significant benefits include China, India, Indonesia, Argentina, Mexico, and South Africa.

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